National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

 |  End of River Group

GUADALUPE RIVER - SAN JOSE AT ALMADEN EXPRESSWAY (GUDC1)
Latitude: 37.28º NLongitude: 121.88º WElevation: 150 Feet
Location: Santa Clara County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: Central CoastRiver Group: South Bay
Issuance Time: Dec 25 2025 at 2:02 PM PSTNext Issuance: Dec 26 2025 at 9:00 AM PST
Action/Monitor: 9.0 FeetMinor Flood: 10.5 FeetModerate Flood: 11.5 FeetMajor Flood: 15.0 Feet

Please Note:
1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Data)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.
Observed Data Credit
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Raw streamflow data is provided by the Santa Clara Valley Water District.
View Santa Clara Valley Water District Data for this station location.

Verification - Historical Graphical RVF
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To view other verification locations, use our Historical Graphical River Forecast Interface.
Historical Stage/Flow Data
Note: Water Year 2025 is currently showing peak daily mean values. These will be updated to instantaneous peaks in the coming months.
Water Year
Peak Discharge (cfs)
Stage (feet)
Date
 Most Recent 5 Years
2025*
1,017
5.56
Feb 14, 2025
2024*
1,611
7.39
Feb 4, 2024
2023*
3,120
9.04
Jan 9, 2023
2022*
1,510
6.14
Dec 24, 2022
2021*
1,480
6.09
Jan 27, 2021
 Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - Jan 1975 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
1995*
8,470
11.73
Jan 09, 1995
1999*
6,780
10.50
Dec 3, 1998
 * Discharge affected by regulation or diversion
Location Photographs
ESRI™ Locator Map
Flood Impacts
12.0 FeetMajor Flood Stage. Flooding continues to spill near Alam Avenue, flowing northward and crossing east under Willow Street and Alma Avenue viaducts, continuing to flow north. Overbanking occurs at Atlanta Avenue just upstream of CA87. The Willow Glen Neighborhood bounded by Willow Street and Minnesota Avenue see overland flooding. Overbanking occurs in various locations between Alma Avenue and Willow Glen Way. Potential flooding on Ross and Canoas Creeks due to high backwater caused by Guadalupe River.
11.73 FeetHistorical High Water - January 1995
11.0 FeetModerate Flood Stage. River continues to overtop upstream of Alma Avenue Bridge into the Elks Lodge, spilling north along Lelong Street. Alma Avenue/CA87 viaduct is flooded. Creek overbanks west near Minnesota Avenue downstream of Alma Avenue. Properties south of the old UPRR alignment in the Northern Cross Neighborhood also at risk.
10.5 FeetMinor Flood Stage. River begins to overtop upstream of Alma Avenue Bridge into the Elks Lodge, spilling north , as well as near the RxR on the east bank.
9.0 FeetAction Stage: Additional flow from Canoas Creek watershed or increased reservoir spills may bring river to flood stage.
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ513)
Tonight: Showers in the evening. A slight chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely after midnight. Some thunderstorms may be severe with heavy rainfall. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph in the evening.

Friday: A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of showers. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall in the evening. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the morning. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of showers 20 percent.

Saturday Night: Clear except for frost after midnight. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds around 5 mph.

Sunday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

Sunday Night through Wednesday: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.

New Years Day: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s.
Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS San Francisco Bay Area-Monterey Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.