CNRFC - Hydrology - River Guidance - Graphical RVF

End of River Group

Location:

GUADALUPE RIVER - SAN JOSE AT ALMADEN EXPRESSWAY (GUDC1)

Latitude: 37.28º N	Longitude: 121.88º W	Elevation: 150 Feet
Location: Santa Clara County in California		Bulletin Group: Central Coast		River Group: South Bay

Issuance Time:

Jan 18 2025 at 8:01 AM PST

Next Issuance:

Jan 19 2025 at 9:00 AM PST

Action/Monitor: 9.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 10.5 Feet

Moderate Flood: 11.5 Feet

Major Flood: 15.0 Feet

Plot Type:

Please Note: Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

Observed Data Credit
	Raw streamflow data is provided by the Santa Clara Valley Water District. View Santa Clara Valley Water District Data for this station location.

Historical Stage/Flow Data
Water Year	Peak Discharge (cfs)	Stage (feet)	Date
Most Recent 5 Years
2023*	3,120	9.04	Jan 9, 2023
2022*	1,510	6.14	Dec 24, 2022
2021*	1,480	6.09	Jan 27, 2021
2020*	687	4.45	Nov 26, 2019
2019*	3,220	9.15	Jan 16, 2019
Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - Jan 1975 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
1995*	8,470	11.73	Jan 09, 1995
1999*	6,780	10.50	Dec 3, 1998
* Discharge affected by regulation or diversion

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
17.01 Feet	Cont'...Possible overtopping of Guadalupe River near Capitol Expwy on the east side, flowing towards Pearl Ave. Additionally, possible overtopping near Thousand Oaks Park and upstream of Branham Lane flowing along streets flooding businesses and the Erickson Neighborhood. If flood is sustained or incresing, car dealerships along Capitol Expwy may be inundated as well. Potential flooding on Ross and Canoas Creeks due to high backwater caused by Guadalupe River.
17.0 Feet	Washington/Guadalupe, Tamien and Alma/Almaden Neighborhoods east of CA-87 inundated from floodwaters traveling under street viaducts from the west. Widespread flooding in the eastern Willow Glen Neighborhood, as well as the Gardner and Atlanta/Bird Neighborhoods. CA87/I-280 interchange at risk from overland flow spilling onto the roadway.
15.0 Feet	Major Flood Stage. Flooding continues to spill near Alam Avenue, flowing northward and crossing east under Willow Street and Alma Avenue viaducts, continuing to flow north. Overbanking occurs at Atlanta Avenue just upstream of CA87. The Willow Glen Neighborhood bounded by Willow Street and Minnesota Avenue see overland flooding. Overbanking occurs in various locations between Alma Avenue and Willow Glen Way. Potential flooding on Ross and Canoas Creeks due to high backwater caused by Guadalupe River.
11.73 Feet	Historical High Water - January 1995
11.5 Feet	Moderate Flood Stage. River continues to overtop upstream of Alma Avenue Bridge into the Elks Lodge, spilling north along Lelong Street. Alma Avenue/CA87 viaduct is flooded. Creek overbanks west near Minnesota Avenue downstream of Alma Avenue. Properties south of the old UPRR alignment in the Northern Cross Neighborhood also at risk.
10.5 Feet	Minor Flood Stage. River begins to overtop upstream of Alma Avenue Bridge into the Elks Lodge, spilling north, as well as near the RxR on the east bank.
9.0 Feet	Monitor Stage. Additional flow from Canoas Creek watershed or increased reservoir spills may bring river to flood stage.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ513)

Rest of Tonight: Mostly clear except patchy fog after midnight. Lows around 40. Light winds.

Sunday: Sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds and becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Martin Luther King Jr Day: Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Monday Night: Clear. Areas of frost after midnight. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds around 5 mph and becoming east after midnight.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

Wednesday Night and Thursday: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 70.

Thursday Night through Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.

Saturday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. A slight chance of rain. Highs in the lower 60s.

Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS San Francisco Bay Area-Monterey Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.

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