CNRFC - Hydrology - River Guidance - Graphical RVF

End of River Group

Location:

GUADALUPE RIVER - SAN JOSE AT ALMADEN EXPRESSWAY (GUDC1)

Latitude: 37.28º N	Longitude: 121.88º W	Elevation: 150 Feet
Location: Santa Clara County in California		Bulletin Group: Central Coast		River Group: South Bay

Issuance Time:

Jan 05 2026 at 1:29 PM PST

Next Issuance:

Jan 06 2026 at 9:00 AM PST

Action/Monitor: 9.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 10.5 Feet

Moderate Flood: 11.5 Feet

Major Flood: 15.0 Feet

Plot Type:

Please Note:
1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Data)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.

Observed Data Credit
	Raw streamflow data is provided by the Santa Clara Valley Water District. View Santa Clara Valley Water District Data for this station location.

Historical Stage/Flow Data
Note: Water Year 2025 is currently showing peak daily mean values. These will be updated to instantaneous peaks in the coming months.
Water Year	Peak Discharge (cfs)	Stage (feet)	Date
Most Recent 5 Years
2025*	1,017	5.56	Feb 14, 2025
2024*	1,611	7.39	Feb 4, 2024
2023*	3,120	9.04	Jan 9, 2023
2022*	1,510	6.14	Dec 24, 2022
2021*	1,480	6.09	Jan 27, 2021
Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - Jan 1975 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
1995*	8,470	11.73	Jan 09, 1995
1999*	6,780	10.50	Dec 3, 1998
* Discharge affected by regulation or diversion

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
12.0 Feet	Major Flood Stage. Flooding continues to spill near Alam Avenue, flowing northward and crossing east under Willow Street and Alma Avenue viaducts, continuing to flow north. Overbanking occurs at Atlanta Avenue just upstream of CA87. The Willow Glen Neighborhood bounded by Willow Street and Minnesota Avenue see overland flooding. Overbanking occurs in various locations between Alma Avenue and Willow Glen Way. Potential flooding on Ross and Canoas Creeks due to high backwater caused by Guadalupe River.
11.73 Feet	Historical High Water - January 1995
11.0 Feet	Moderate Flood Stage. River continues to overtop upstream of Alma Avenue Bridge into the Elks Lodge, spilling north along Lelong Street. Alma Avenue/CA87 viaduct is flooded. Creek overbanks west near Minnesota Avenue downstream of Alma Avenue. Properties south of the old UPRR alignment in the Northern Cross Neighborhood also at risk.
10.5 Feet	Minor Flood Stage. River begins to overtop upstream of Alma Avenue Bridge into the Elks Lodge, spilling north , as well as near the RxR on the east bank.
9.0 Feet	Action Stage: Additional flow from Canoas Creek watershed or increased reservoir spills may bring river to flood stage.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ513)

Tonight: Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. A slight chance of showers in the morning. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the mid 40s. Light winds.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

Thursday Night through Sunday: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs near 60.

Sunday Night and Monday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.

Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS San Francisco Bay Area-Monterey Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.

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Verification - Historical Graphical RVF
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