National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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RUSSIAN RIVER - GUERNEVILLE (GUEC1)
Latitude: 38.50º NLongitude: 123.00º WElevation: 65 Feet
Location: Sonoma County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: Russian NapaRiver Group: Russian Napa
Issuance Time: Jan 01 2026 at 9:03 AM PSTNext Issuance: Jan 02 2026 at 9:00 AM PST
Action/Monitor: 29.0 FeetMinor Flood: 32.0 FeetModerate Flood: 35.0 FeetMajor Flood: 40.0 Feet

Please Note:
1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Data)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.
Observed Data Credit
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Raw streamflow data is provided by the US Geological Survey (USGS).
View US Geological Survey (USGS) Data for this station location.

Verification - Historical Graphical RVF
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Historical Stage/Flow Data
Note: Water Year 2025 is currently showing peak daily mean values. These will be updated to instantaneous peaks in the coming months.
Water Year
Peak Discharge (cfs)
Stage (feet)
Date
 Most Recent 5 Years
2025*
57,729**
36.53
Feb 05, 2025
2024*
37,500**
28.91
Feb 6, 2024
2023*
44,600**
31.83
Jan 10, 2023
2022*
25,600**
23.49
Oct 25, 2021
2021*
2,950**
8.24
Feb 13, 2021
 Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - February 1940 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
1986*
102,000**
49.50
Feb 18, 1986
1995*
93,900**
48.00
Jan 10, 1995
1965*
93,400**
47.35
Dec 23, 1964
1956
90,100**
47.62
Dec 23, 1955
1940
88,400**
46.87
Feb 28, 1940
2019*
85,300**
45.38
Feb 27, 2019
 * Discharge affected to unknown degree by regulation or diversion
 ** Estimated
Location Photographs
ESRI™ Locator Map
Flood Impacts
49.5 FeetFlood of record. 2/18/1986 (102,000cfs).
48.5 FeetNear record flooding. In Guerneville the Veterans building and the Sheriffs substation begin to flood.
47.0 FeetIn Guerneville businesses on the north side of Main Street flood. Travel most areas impossible.
46.0 FeetDisastrous flooding. In Guerneville much of downtown floods. The Guerneville post office begins to flood. In Rio Nido, River Road floods.
45.0 FeetDisastrous flooding is forecast to occur along the lower Russian River. Much of downtown Guerneville will become inundated. Many roads will flood making travel nearly impossible throughout the reach.
44.0 FeetIn Guerneville HWY 116 west of town closed. Safeway floods. In Monte Rio and Guerneville Park the main business sections flood. Travel in most areas nearly impossible.
41.5 FeetIn Guerneville, River Road closed. In Monte Rio the main intersections flood. Monte Rio Elementary School begins to flood.
40.0 FeetMajor flooding is expected along the Russian River. In Guerneville travel on River Road becomes very difficult. In Northwood upper Redwood Drive floods. In Cazadero Austin Creek Road floods.
39.0 FeetWest of Duncan Mills HWY 116 is closed. In Hacienda River Road floods. In Rio Nido Canyon 7 Road at the miniture golf course floods. In Guerneville the Triple R Resort begins to flood.
38.0 FeetIn Duncan Mills Freezeout Road at Moscow Road floods. In Guerneville Park Cazadero Road at HWY 116 floods.
37.0 FeetIn Forestville Mirabel Road at River Road floods. In Guerneville River Road east of Guerneville floods. Mill Street and 5th Street flood. In Monte Rio River Blvd east of Monte Rio floods.
36.0 FeetIn Forestville Mirabel Park Resort and Mirabel trailer park flood. In Guerneville Fern Road at HWY 116 floods.
35.0 FeetModerate flooding is forecast along the lower Russian River. Numerous businesses and residences in the lowest sections of towns within the reach are expected to flood. In Guerneville Brookside Resort begins to flood. More extensive flooding occurs at Parkers Resort. In Northwood lower Redwood Drive floods.
34.0 FeetIn Guerneville flooding begins at Johnsons Resort, Parkers Resort, Creekside Resort and Riverside Park. In Northwood lower Redwood Drive begins to flood.
33.0 FeetIn Guerneville the intersection of HWY 116 and Drake Rd is closed. In Monte Rio Willow and Alder Streets flood. In Forestville Mirabel trailer park begins to flood.
32.5 FeetIn Guerneville the intersecton of HWY 116 and Neeley Rd is closed. Mays Canyon Rd by the old rodeo grounds is closed.
32.0 FeetFlood stage. Minor flooding. Lower Mill Street in Guerneville and Old Bohemian Highway in Monte Rio are expected to flood.
29.0 FeetMonitor stage.
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ506)
Tonight: Rain likely in the evening, then a chance of rain after midnight. Lows near 50. Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph.

Friday: Cloudy. A slight chance of rain. Highs in the 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.

Friday Night: Breezy. Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph and becoming south 10 to 20 mph after midnight. Gusts up to 45 mph.

Saturday: Breezy. Rain in the morning, then showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds 20 to 30 mph.

Saturday Night: Rain in the evening, then showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.

Sunday: Rain. Highs in the 50s.

Sunday Night: Rain. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.

Monday: Rain likely. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower to mid 40s.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. A slight chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. A chance of rain. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.

Wednesday and Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Lows in the 30s to mid 40s.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A chance of rain. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s.
Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS San Francisco Bay Area-Monterey Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.