National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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MORMON SLOUGH - BELLOTA (MSGC1)
Latitude: 38.05º NLongitude: 121.01º WElevation: 130 Feet
Location: San Joaquin County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: North San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Jul 14 2025 at 8:29 AM PDTNext Issuance: Jul 15 2025 at 9:00 AM PDT
Action/Monitor: 16.0 FeetMinor Flood: 22.0 FeetModerate Flood: 30.9 FeetMajor Flood: 31.9 Feet

Please Note:
1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Data)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.
Observed Data Credit
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Raw streamflow data is provided by the US Army Corps of Engineers.
View US Army Corps of Engineers Data for this station location.

Verification - Historical Graphical RVF
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To view other verification locations, use our Historical Graphical River Forecast Interface.
Historical Stage/Flow Data
Water Year
Peak Discharge (cfs)
Stage (feet)
Date
 Most Recent 5 Years
2024*
1,100
7.44
Mar 3, 2024
2023*
11,400
21.80
Jan 16, 2023
2022*
1,950
9.21
Oct 25, 2021
2021*
839
6.78
Jan 28, 2021
2020*
308
5.17
Mar 17, 2020
 Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - Dec 1997 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
2023*
11,400
21.80
Jan 16, 2023
1998*
9,395
18.48
Feb 3, 1998
2006*
9,328
18.40
Apr 4, 2006
 * Discharge affected by regulation or diversion
Location Photographs
ESRI™ Locator Map
Flood Impacts
31.9 FeetTop of Levee right bank levee. Water will overflow toward Bellota and Highway 26.
23.0 FeetDanger Stage
22.0 FeetFlood Stage
16.0 FeetMonitor Stage - Bike trail within lower Calaveras River channel flooded.
14.2 FeetUOP research within the Calaveras River channel is affected by water levels.
9.0 FeetWater rises out of the pilot channel but not yet on the levee slopes.
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ019)
Tonight: Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Northwest winds up to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 89 to 97. Northwest winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 54 to 62. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 85 to 93. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 54 to 62. Northwest winds around 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs 86 to 94.

Thursday Night: Clear. Lows 55 to 63.

Friday through Monday: Clear. Highs 87 to 97. Lows 55 to 65.
Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS Sacramento Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.