National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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MORMON SLOUGH - BELLOTA (MSGC1)
Latitude: 38.05º NLongitude: 121.01º WElevation: 130 Feet
Location: San Joaquin County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: North San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Dec 13 2025 at 7:01 AM PSTNext Issuance: Dec 14 2025 at 9:00 AM PST
Action/Monitor: 16.0 FeetMinor Flood: 22.0 FeetModerate Flood: 30.9 FeetMajor Flood: 31.9 Feet

Please Note:
1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Data)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.
Observed Data Credit
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Raw streamflow data is provided by the US Army Corps of Engineers.
View US Army Corps of Engineers Data for this station location.

Verification - Historical Graphical RVF
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To view other verification locations, use our Historical Graphical River Forecast Interface.
Historical Mean Daily Stage/Flow Data
Water Year
Peak Discharge (cfs)
Stage (feet)
Date
 Most Recent 5 Years
2025* 904 6.89 Feb 15, 2025
2024* 1,100 7.44 Mar 3, 2024
2023* 11,400 21.80 Jan 16, 2023
2022* 1,950 9.21 Oct 25, 2021
2021* 839 6.78 Jan 28, 2021
 Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - Dec 1997 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
2023* 11,400 21.80 Jan 16, 2023
1998* 9,395 18.48 Feb 3, 1998
2006* 9,328 18.40 Apr 4, 2006
2011* 8,354 17.22 Mar 24, 2011
 * Discharge affected by regulation or diversion
Location Photographs
ESRI™ Locator Map
Flood Impacts
31.9 FeetTop of Levee right bank levee. Water will overflow toward Bellota and Highway 26.
23.0 FeetDanger Stage
22.0 FeetFlood Stage
16.0 FeetMonitor Stage - Bike trail within lower Calaveras River channel flooded.
14.2 FeetUOP research within the Calaveras River channel is affected by water levels.
9.0 FeetWater rises out of the pilot channel but not yet on the levee slopes.
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ019)
Today: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog and locally dense until late afternoon. Patchy fog late in the afternoon. Highs 47 to 57. Light winds.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the evening. Areas of dense fog and locally dense after midnight. Lows 39 to 45. Light winds.

Sunday: Areas of fog and locally dense in the morning. Mostly cloudy. Highs 46 to 56. Light winds.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 40 to 46. Light winds.

Monday: Mostly cloudy. Highs 50 to 60. Light winds.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows 43 to 49.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Highs 56 to 62.

Tuesday Night and Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows around 53. Highs around 61.

Wednesday Night and Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain showers. Lows around 47. Highs around 57.

Thursday Night and Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows around 49. Highs around 56.
Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS Sacramento Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.