CNRFC - Hydrology - River Guidance - Graphical RVF

Location:

SAN JOAQUIN RIVER - PATTERSON (PATC1)

Latitude: 37.49º N	Longitude: 121.08º W	Elevation: 97 Feet
Location: Stanislaus County in California		Bulletin Group: San Joaquin		River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Nov 17 2025 at 8:28 AM PST

Next Issuance:

Nov 17 2025 at 3:00 PM PST

Action/Monitor: 48.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 54.7 Feet

Moderate Flood: 57.3 Feet

Major Flood: 58.3 Feet

Plot Type:

Please Note:
1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Data)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.

Observed Data Credit
	Raw streamflow data is provided by the California Department of Water Resources. View California Department of Water Resources Data for this station location.

Historical Mean Daily Stage/Flow Data
Water Year	Peak Discharge (cfs)	Stage (feet)	Date
Most Recent 5 Years
2025*	3,474	37.43	Mar 23, 2025
2024*	5,740	41.64	Mar 7, 2024
2023*	24,500	52.24	Mar 27, 2023
2022*	1,190	33.41	Dec 31, 2021
2021*	1,770	34.50	Feb 1, 2021
Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - Oct 1969 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
1983*	28,700	51.26	Mar 4, 1983
2006*	27,612	50.97	Apr 10, 2006
2017*	25,600	51.71	Feb 22, 2017
1980*	24,900	50.57	Feb 25, 1980
2023*	24,500	52.24	Mar 27, 2023
1986*	23,000	49.65	Mar 18, 1986

* Discharge affected by regulation or diversion
** Most recent continuous record back to Oct 1969 with segmented periods back to Apr 1938

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
58.3 Feet	Stages above 58.3 feet result in flooding outside the levee. Top of levee.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ019)

Today: Rain showers early in the morning, then a chance of rain showers in the late morning and afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Highs 52 to 60. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph decreasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers in the evening. Lows 42 to 48. South winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs 53 to 61. Light winds.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 43 to 49. Light winds.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Highs 54 to 62. Light winds.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows 46 to 52.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs 54 to 60.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows 43 to 49.

Friday: Partly cloudy. Highs 56 to 62.

Friday Night through Sunday: Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 47. Highs 57 to 63.

Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS Sacramento Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.

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