CNRFC - Hydrology - River Guidance - Graphical RVF

Location:

SESPE CREEK - FILLMORE (SESC1)

Latitude: 34.44º N	Longitude: 118.93º W	Elevation: 565 Feet
Location: Ventura County in California		Bulletin Group: Southern California		River Group: Southern California

Issuance Time:

Dec 27 2025 at 9:19 AM PST

Next Issuance:

Dec 28 2025 at 9:00 AM PST

Action/Monitor: 17.8 Feet

Minor Flood: 19.2 Feet

Moderate Flood: 19.8 Feet

Major Flood: 20.4 Feet

Plot Type:

Please Note:
1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Data)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.

Observed Data Credit
	Raw streamflow data is provided by the US Geological Survey (USGS). View US Geological Survey (USGS) Data for this station location.

Historical Stage/Flow Data
Note: Water Year 2025 is currently showing peak daily mean values. These will be updated to instantaneous peaks in the coming months.
Water Year	Peak Discharge (cfs)	Stage (feet)	Date
Most Recent 5 Years
2025	930	7.89	Feb 13, 2025
2024	21,700	16.57	Feb 4, 2024
2023**	58,100	20.49	Jan 9, 2023
2022	4,950	12.09	Dec 14, 2021
2021	510	7.89	Jan 28, 2021
Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - Oct 1993 to Present)* - Ranked by Flow
2005	85,300	20.40	Jan 10, 2005
1978	73,000	22.40	Feb 10, 1978
1995	65,000	16.46	Jan 10, 1995
1998	62,500	16.31**	Feb 3, 1998
1969	60,000	20.80	Jan 25, 1969
2023	58,800**	21.50	Jan 9, 2023
* Most recent continuous record back to Oct 1993 with segmented periods back to Sept 1911
** Estimated by USGS

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
20.45 Feet	Flooding of orchards along creek, bank protection and levees could be impacted along the river upstream of and through fillmore, railroad bridge along old Telegraph Road will be impacted, stop logs will need to be placed at railroad bridge along old Telegraph Road to protect homes and shiels park in north fillmore. Downstream impacts will be seen along the santa clara river downstream of the confluence with sespe creek.
19.2 Feet	Flooding of orchards along creek, bank protection could be impacted along Goodenough Road north of fillmore, railroad bridge along old Telegraph Road will be impacted, stop logs will need to be placed at railroad bridge along old Telegraph Road to protect homes and shiels park in north fillmore. Start feeling downstream impacts on santa clara river, especially near the fillmore waste water treatment plant.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ358)

Today: Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s to around 60. Southwest winds around 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows in the upper 30s and 40s. Northeast winds around 15 mph.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph. Gusts to 35 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph.

Monday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 45 mph.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to around 70.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear in the evening then mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid to upper 60s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.

Wednesday Night: A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

New Years Day: Showers likely. Highs in the lower to mid 60s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

Thursday Night: Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower to mid 60s.

Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS Los Angeles-Oxnard Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.

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