National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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MERCED RIVER - STEVINSON (STVC1)
Latitude: 37.37º NLongitude: 120.93º WElevation: 82 Feet
Location: Merced County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Dec 26 2025 at 2:51 PM PSTNext Issuance: Dec 27 2025 at 9:00 AM PST
Action/Monitor: 68.0 FeetMinor Flood: 71.0 FeetModerate Flood: 73.8 FeetMajor Flood: 75.0 Feet

Please Note:
1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Data)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.
Observed Data Credit
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Raw streamflow data is provided by the California Department of Water Resources.
View California Department of Water Resources Data for this station location.

Verification - Historical Graphical RVF
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To view other verification locations, use our Historical Graphical River Forecast Interface.
Historical Stage/Flow Data
Note: Water Year 2025 is currently showing peak daily mean values. These will be updated to instantaneous peaks in the coming months.
Water Year
Peak Discharge (cfs)
Stage (feet)
Date
 Most Recent 5 Years
2025* 2,034 63.13 Mar 20, 2025
2024* 4,370 68.25 Mar 5, 2024
2023* 6,010 71.44 Mar 21, 2023
2022* 863 60.77 Oct 18, 2021
2021* 604 59.42 Oct 28, 2020
 Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - 1944 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
1951* 13,600 73.81 Dec 05, 1950
2017* 7,540 71.63 Feb 26, 2017
1984 7,420 70.10 Mar 14, 1984
1969* 7,190 70.00 Jan 25, 1969
1967* 6,510 69.40 Jul 04, 1967
2011* 6,400 70.51 Mar 21, 2011
 * Discharge affected by regulation or diversion
 ** Incomplete records
Location Photographs
ESRI™ Locator Map
Flood Impacts
70.5 FeetWater is up to the maintenance building in Hagaman Park.
69.0 FeetThe playground area in Hagaman Park along Highway 165 is flooded.
65.0 FeetHagaman Park along Highway 165 begins to flood.
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ302)
Today: Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Northwest winds up to 5 mph.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest winds up to 5 mph shifting to the northeast in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds up to 5 mph.

Monday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Highs in the upper 40s. North winds up to 5 mph.

Monday Night and Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 50.

Tuesday Night and Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.

Wednesday Night: Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Near steady temperature in the mid 40s.

New Years Day and Thursday Night: Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 50s. Lows in the mid 40s.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 50s.
Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS San Joaquin Valley-Hanford Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.