CNRFC - Hydrology - River Guidance - Graphical RVF

Location:

MERCED RIVER - STEVINSON (STVC1)

Latitude: 37.37º N	Longitude: 120.93º W	Elevation: 82 Feet
Location: Merced County in California		Bulletin Group: San Joaquin		River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Nov 12 2025 at 1:59 PM PST

Next Issuance:

Nov 13 2025 at 9:00 AM PST

Action/Monitor: 68.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 71.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 73.8 Feet

Major Flood: 75.0 Feet

Plot Type:

Please Note:
1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Data)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.

Observed Data Credit
	Raw streamflow data is provided by the California Department of Water Resources. View California Department of Water Resources Data for this station location.

Historical Mean Daily Stage/Flow Data
Water Year	Peak Discharge (cfs)	Stage (feet)	Date
Most Recent 5 Years
2025*	2,034	63.13	Mar 20, 2025
2024*	4,370	68.25	Mar 5, 2024
2023*	6,010	71.44	Mar 21, 2023
2022*	863	60.77	Oct 18, 2021
2021*	604	59.42	Oct 28, 2020
Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - 1944 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
1951*	13,600	73.81	Dec 05, 1950
2017*	7,540	71.63	Feb 26, 2017
1984	7,420	70.10	Mar 14, 1984
1969*	7,190	70.00	Jan 25, 1969
1967*	6,510	69.40	Jul 04, 1967
2011*	6,400	70.51	Mar 21, 2011
* Discharge affected by regulation or diversion ** Incomplete records

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
70.5 Feet	Water is up to the maintenance building in Hagaman Park.
69.0 Feet	The playground area in Hagaman Park along Highway 165 is flooded.
65.0 Feet	Hagaman Park along Highway 165 begins to flood.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ302)

Today: Rain likely early in the morning, then rain late in the morning. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 70. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

Tonight: Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.

Friday: Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the morning, then chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds up to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows around 50. Northwest winds up to 5 mph.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.

Saturday Night: Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 50s.

Sunday through Monday: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 60s. Lows in the upper 40s.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy with chance of rain in the evening, then mostly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the lower 40s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Tuesday and Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. Lows around 40.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. A 30 percent chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 50s.

Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS San Joaquin Valley-Hanford Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.

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