Please Note: 1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.
2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Data)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.
Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - Sep 2001 to Present)** - Ranked by Flow
1993*
44,000***
20.47***
Jan 16, 1993
1927
33,600****
18.00
Feb 16, 1927
2017*
31,200
14.60
Jan 22, 2017
1938
31,000
12.70
Mar 3, 1938
2011*
30,000***
12.29
Dec 22, 2010
2019*
29,500
15.07
Feb 14, 2019
* Discharge affected by regulation or diversion
** Most recent continuous record back to Sep 2001 with segmented periods back to Feb 1923
*** Estimated value
**** Highest flow since regulation by Skinner Reservoir began in 1974
Major flood, 37,000 cfs. Widespread inundation of Camp Pendleton with evacuations likely. Flood of Record Jan 16, 1993.
13.78 Feet
Moderate flood stage, 17,000 cfs. Vandegrift Road is flooded for several miles downstream of the gage site. Stuart Mesa Road is flooded near the bridge.
12.5 Feet
Minor flood stage, 8,000 cfs. Vandegrift Road has begun to flood downstream of the gage. Stuart Mesa Road closures can be expected.
10.85 Feet
2,500 cfs. The river has reached monitor stage. Personnel begin regular patrols along the levee.
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ043)
Today: Mostly cloudy with showers likely this morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of showers this afternoon. Highs 63 to 66. Areas of winds southeast 10 mph becoming southwest this afternoon. Chance of measurable precipitation 70 percent.
Tonight: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Lows 51 to 55. Light winds. Chance of measurable precipitation 20 percent.
Monday: Cloudy with a slight chance of showers in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs 63 to 66. Areas of winds east 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of measurable precipitation 50 percent.
Monday Night: Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 53. Areas of winds west 10 to 15 mph. Gusts to 30 mph and becoming 25 mph overnight.
Tuesday: Cloudy in the morning and becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 60. Areas of winds west 10 mph. Chance of measurable precipitation 50 percent.
Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows 46 to 50.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and becoming partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Highs 59 to 64.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear in the evening and becoming partly cloudy. Lows around 50.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs 60 to 64.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening and becoming cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows 48 to 53.
Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and becoming partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Highs 61 to 66.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening and becoming mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows 48 to 52.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. Highs 65 to 70.
Product Disclaimer
This river graphic is not intended to serve as a
substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements
issued by the NWS San Diego Weather Forecast Office. Observations
are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast"
should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products.
River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty
due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning
purposes only.
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