National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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TUOLUMNE RIVER - MODESTO (MDSC1)
Latitude: 37.63º NLongitude: 120.99º WElevation: 60 FeetForecast Type: Official Location
Location: Stanislaus County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Feb 15 2026 at 8:09 AM PSTNext Issuance: Feb 16 2026 at 9:00 AM PST
Action/Monitor: 50.5 FeetMinor Flood: 55.0 FeetModerate Flood: 66.0 FeetMajor Flood: 67.0 Feet


# Tabular Observed and Forecast Hydrograph Information
#
# Location: Tuolumne River - Modesto (MDSC1)
#
# File Generation Time:  02/15/2026 at 08:09 AM PST
# Data Interval:  1 Hour
#
# Most Recent Date & Time of Maximum Observed:  02/15/2026 at 07:00 AM PST
# Maximum Observed Stage:                       40.28 Feet
# Maximum Observed Flow:                        1292 cfs
#
# Earliest Date & Time of Maximum Forecast:     02/18/2026 at 09:00 PM PST
# Maximum Forecast Stage:                       45.18 Feet
# Maximum Forecast Flow:                        3368 cfs
#
# OBSERVED
#
# Date & Time  (Local)    Stage (Feet)     Flow (cfs)     Trend     Observed Status
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  02/10/2026 08 AM PST           37.09            296                        Normal
  02/10/2026 09 AM PST           37.11            301         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 10 AM PST           37.15            311         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 11 AM PST           37.20            323         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 12 PM PST           37.26            339         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 01 PM PST           37.32            354         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 02 PM PST           37.38            370         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 03 PM PST           37.43            383         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 04 PM PST           37.49            399         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 05 PM PST           37.56            418         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 06 PM PST           37.61            431         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 07 PM PST           37.67            448         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 08 PM PST           37.71            459         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 09 PM PST           37.74            467         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 10 PM PST           37.76            473         +              Normal
  02/10/2026 11 PM PST           37.77            476         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 12 AM PST           37.79            481         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 01 AM PST           37.81            487         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 02 AM PST           37.81            487         0              Normal
  02/11/2026 03 AM PST           37.82            490         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 04 AM PST           37.83            493         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 05 AM PST           37.85            499         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 06 AM PST           37.89            510         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 07 AM PST           37.93            522         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 08 AM PST           37.98            536         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 09 AM PST           38.04            554         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 10 AM PST           38.10            571         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 11 AM PST           38.17            592         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 12 PM PST           38.23            610         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 01 PM PST           38.30            632         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 02 PM PST           38.34            644         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 03 PM PST           38.40            662         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 04 PM PST           38.46            681         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 05 PM PST           38.51            697         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 06 PM PST           38.55            709         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 07 PM PST           38.58            719         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 08 PM PST           38.62            732         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 09 PM PST           38.64            738         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 10 PM PST           38.66            744         +              Normal
  02/11/2026 11 PM PST           38.69            754         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 12 AM PST           38.73            767         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 01 AM PST           38.78            783         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 02 AM PST           38.82            796         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 03 AM PST           38.90            822         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 04 AM PST           38.99            852         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 05 AM PST           39.08            881         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 06 AM PST           39.19            917         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 07 AM PST           39.27            943         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 08 AM PST           39.38            980         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 09 AM PST           39.47           1010         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 10 AM PST           39.56           1040         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 11 AM PST           39.63           1064         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 12 PM PST           39.70           1088         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 01 PM PST           39.76           1109         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 02 PM PST           39.81           1126         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 03 PM PST           39.84           1136         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 04 PM PST           39.89           1154         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 05 PM PST           39.91           1161         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 06 PM PST           39.95           1175         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 07 PM PST           39.97           1182         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 08 PM PST           39.99           1189         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 09 PM PST           40.02           1199         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 10 PM PST           40.05           1210         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 11 PM PST           40.06           1214         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 12 AM PST           40.07           1217         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 01 AM PST           40.10           1228         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 02 AM PST           40.10           1228         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 03 AM PST           40.10           1228         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 04 AM PST           40.13           1238         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 05 AM PST           40.13           1238         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 06 AM PST           40.15           1246         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 07 AM PST           40.15           1246         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 08 AM PST           40.16           1249         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 09 AM PST           40.17           1253         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 10 AM PST           40.18           1256         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 11 AM PST           40.18           1256         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 12 PM PST           40.20           1263         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 01 PM PST           40.20           1263         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 02 PM PST           40.20           1263         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 03 PM PST           40.21           1267         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 04 PM PST           40.22           1271         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 05 PM PST           40.21           1267         -              Normal
  02/13/2026 06 PM PST           40.22           1271         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 07 PM PST           40.22           1271         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 08 PM PST           40.22           1271         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 09 PM PST           40.24           1278         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 10 PM PST           40.23           1274         -              Normal
  02/13/2026 11 PM PST           40.24           1278         +              Normal
  02/14/2026 12 AM PST           40.22           1271         -              Normal
  02/14/2026 01 AM PST           40.24           1278         +              Normal
  02/14/2026 02 AM PST           40.25           1281         +              Normal
  02/14/2026 03 AM PST           40.25           1281         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 04 AM PST           40.25           1281         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 05 AM PST           40.25           1281         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 06 AM PST           40.24           1278         -              Normal
  02/14/2026 07 AM PST           40.24           1278         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 08 AM PST           40.27           1289         +              Normal
  02/14/2026 09 AM PST           40.26           1285         -              Normal
  02/14/2026 10 AM PST           40.26           1285         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 11 AM PST           40.25           1281         -              Normal
  02/14/2026 12 PM PST           40.27           1289         +              Normal
  02/14/2026 01 PM PST           40.26           1285         -              Normal
  02/14/2026 02 PM PST           40.27           1289         +              Normal
  02/14/2026 03 PM PST           40.28           1292         +              Normal
  02/14/2026 04 PM PST           40.27           1289         -              Normal
  02/14/2026 05 PM PST           40.27           1289         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 06 PM PST           40.27           1289         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 07 PM PST           40.27           1289         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 08 PM PST           40.27           1289         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 09 PM PST           40.27           1289         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 10 PM PST           40.27           1289         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 11 PM PST           40.27           1289         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 12 AM PST           40.28           1292         +              Normal
  02/15/2026 01 AM PST           40.27           1289         -              Normal
  02/15/2026 02 AM PST           40.28           1292         +              Normal
  02/15/2026 03 AM PST           40.28           1292         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 04 AM PST           40.27           1289         -              Normal
  02/15/2026 05 AM PST           40.28           1292         +              Normal
  02/15/2026 06 AM PST           40.28           1292         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 07 AM PST           40.28           1292         0              Normal
#
# FORECAST
#
# Date & Time  (Local)    Stage (Feet)     Flow (cfs)     Trend     Forecast Status
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  02/15/2026 08 AM PST           40.29           1296                        Normal
  02/15/2026 09 AM PST           40.29           1296         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 10 AM PST           40.29           1296         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 11 AM PST           40.29           1296         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 12 PM PST           40.29           1296         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 01 PM PST           40.29           1296         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 02 PM PST           40.30           1299         +              Normal
  02/15/2026 03 PM PST           40.30           1299         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 04 PM PST           40.30           1299         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 05 PM PST           40.30           1299         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 06 PM PST           40.30           1299         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 07 PM PST           40.30           1299         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 08 PM PST           40.30           1299         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 09 PM PST           40.30           1299         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 10 PM PST           40.30           1299         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 11 PM PST           40.30           1299         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 12 AM PST           40.31           1303         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 01 AM PST           40.31           1303         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 02 AM PST           40.31           1303         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 03 AM PST           40.31           1303         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 04 AM PST           40.31           1303         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 05 AM PST           40.31           1303         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 06 AM PST           40.32           1307         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 07 AM PST           40.32           1307         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 08 AM PST           40.32           1307         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 09 AM PST           40.32           1307         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 10 AM PST           40.32           1307         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 11 AM PST           40.33           1310         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 12 PM PST           40.33           1310         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 01 PM PST           40.33           1310         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 02 PM PST           40.33           1310         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 03 PM PST           40.33           1310         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 04 PM PST           40.33           1310         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 05 PM PST           40.34           1314         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 06 PM PST           40.34           1314         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 07 PM PST           40.34           1314         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 08 PM PST           40.34           1314         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 09 PM PST           40.35           1318         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 10 PM PST           40.35           1318         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 11 PM PST           40.36           1321         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 12 AM PST           40.37           1325         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 01 AM PST           40.38           1328         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 02 AM PST           40.39           1332         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 03 AM PST           40.41           1339         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 04 AM PST           40.42           1343         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 05 AM PST           40.44           1350         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 06 AM PST           40.47           1361         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 07 AM PST           40.50           1372         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 08 AM PST           40.55           1391         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 09 AM PST           40.63           1420         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 10 AM PST           40.72           1454         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 11 AM PST           40.83           1495         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 12 PM PST           40.96           1544         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 01 PM PST           41.11           1601         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 02 PM PST           41.27           1663         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 03 PM PST           41.44           1729         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 04 PM PST           41.61           1796         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 05 PM PST           41.79           1868         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 06 PM PST           41.96           1937         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 07 PM PST           42.11           1998         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 08 PM PST           42.24           2051         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 09 PM PST           42.34           2092         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 10 PM PST           42.43           2130         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 11 PM PST           42.48           2151         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 12 AM PST           42.52           2167         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 01 AM PST           42.53           2171         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 02 AM PST           42.52           2167         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 03 AM PST           42.50           2159         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 04 AM PST           42.47           2146         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 05 AM PST           42.44           2134         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 06 AM PST           42.43           2130         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 07 AM PST           42.47           2146         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 08 AM PST           42.59           2197         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 09 AM PST           42.78           2277         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 10 AM PST           43.03           2384         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 11 AM PST           43.31           2505         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 12 PM PST           43.63           2646         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 01 PM PST           43.96           2793         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 02 PM PST           44.27           2934         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 03 PM PST           44.54           3059         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 04 PM PST           44.76           3163         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 05 PM PST           44.93           3245         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 06 PM PST           45.05           3304         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 07 PM PST           45.13           3344         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 08 PM PST           45.17           3363         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 09 PM PST           45.18           3368         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 10 PM PST           45.16           3358         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 11 PM PST           45.12           3339         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 12 AM PST           45.05           3304         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 01 AM PST           44.95           3255         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 02 AM PST           44.84           3202         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 03 AM PST           44.70           3135         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 04 AM PST           44.54           3059         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 05 AM PST           44.37           2979         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 06 AM PST           44.18           2893         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 07 AM PST           43.98           2802         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 08 AM PST           43.78           2712         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 09 AM PST           43.57           2619         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 10 AM PST           43.38           2536         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 11 AM PST           43.22           2466         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 12 PM PST           43.05           2392         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 01 PM PST           42.90           2328         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 02 PM PST           42.76           2268         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 03 PM PST           42.62           2209         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 04 PM PST           42.49           2155         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 05 PM PST           42.38           2109         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 06 PM PST           42.26           2059         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 07 PM PST           42.16           2018         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 08 PM PST           42.06           1977         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 09 PM PST           41.97           1941         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 10 PM PST           41.89           1908         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 11 PM PST           41.81           1876         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 12 AM PST           41.74           1848         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 01 AM PST           41.67           1820         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 02 AM PST           41.61           1796         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 03 AM PST           41.57           1780         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 04 AM PST           41.52           1761         -              Normal
#
# NOTE 1: Stages are rounded to the nearest hundredth (.01) of a foot.
# NOTE 2: Flows are rounded to the nearest (1) cfs.
# NOTE 3: Trends are determined using hourly change in unrounded stage and flow.
# NOTE 4: Maximum Values are determined using unrounded stage and flow.