CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

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VAN DUZEN RIVER - BRIDGEVILLE (BRGC1)

Latitude: 40.48º N	Longitude: 123.89º W	Elevation: 358 Feet
Location: Humboldt County in California		Bulletin Group: North Coast		River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

Jun 16, 2025 at 6:34 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 13.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 17.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 20.0 Feet

Major Flood: 23.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BRGC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
25.0 Feet	Extensive, severe, record flooding from Bridgeville downstream to the mouth including portions of US Highway 101. All persons near the river should be prepared to take appropriate actions to protect life and property.
24.0 Feet	Extensive, severe, near record flooding from Bridgeville downstream to the mouth including portions of US Highway 101. All persons near the river should be prepared to take appropriate actions to protect life and property.
23.0 Feet	Extensive, severe flooding with closure of Highway 36 east of Carlotta to near the Grizzly Creek Bridge. River Bar Road in the Starvation Flats area will be impassable.
21.0 Feet	Flooding of Highway 36 east of Carlotta and near the Grizzly Creek Bridge with water over the road in numerous locations. Portions of River Bar Road in Starvation Flats will likely be impassable. Water level in Grizzly Creek State Park will approach Highway 36.
20.0 Feet	Flooding of Highway 36, especially east of Carlotta and near Grizzly Creek State Park. Portions of River Bar Road in the Starvation Flats area are likely to be impassable. In the State Park water may reach near the office.
19.0 Feet	Flooding of Highway 36 near Grizzly Creek State Park and along River Bar Road in the Starvation flats area. Water level at the State Park reaches the parking lot.
18.0 Feet	Minor flooding of Highway 36 near Grizzly Creek State Park and in lower portions of the State Park itself. Moderate flooding of River Bar Road in the Starvation Flats area.
17.0 Feet	Flooding begins in lower portions of Grizzly Creek State Park and along River Bar Road.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ106)

Today: Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Highs 65 to 80.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 70 to 85.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 70 to 85.

Wednesday Night through Thursday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 70 to 85.

Friday through Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. Highs 61 to 76. Lows 40 to 50.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 66 to 81.

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