CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

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EEL RIVER - SCOTIA (SCOC1)

Latitude: 40.49º N	Longitude: 124.1º W	Elevation: 36 Feet
Location: Humboldt County in California		Bulletin Group: North Coast		River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

Jun 16, 2025 at 6:34 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 45.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 51.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 60.0 Feet

Major Flood: 65.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | SCOC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

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Flood Impacts
74.0 Feet	Extensive and severe flooding throughout the river valley with major damage to roads, bridges and structures. There will be numerous road closures including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254) and US Highway 101.
72.0 Feet	Extensive and severe flooding of all areas adjacent to the river is expected with possible damage to roads, bridges and other structures. Expect many road closures including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254) and possibly US Highway 101.
67.0 Feet	Expect significant flooding in all areas near the river with numerous road closures, including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
62.0 Feet	Flooding of many low lying areas near the river is likely. Numerous closures along the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
55.0 Feet	Flooding of low lying areas near Shively is likely, along with possible closure of portions of the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
52.0 Feet	Minor flooding in the Shively area is possible.
50.0 Feet	Flooding of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell is likely. Occupants of the park will need to move their vehicles to higher ground.
48.0 Feet	Flooding of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell is expected. Occupants of the park may need to move their vehicles to higher ground.
46.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in the northern portion of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell. Occupants of the park need to be ready to move their vehicles to higher ground.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ103)

Today: Mostly cloudy until early afternoon then becoming mostly sunny. Slight chance of drizzle in the morning. Highs 56 to 66. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51. North wind around 10 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 60 to 70. Northwest wind around 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows 45 to 55. North wind around 10 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. Highs 58 to 68. North wind around 15 mph.

Wednesday Night through Friday: Mostly cloudy. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 56 to 68.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers. Lows 43 to 53.

Saturday through Sunday: Mostly cloudy. Highs 55 to 68. Lows 42 to 52.

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