CNRFC - Ensemble Products

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Location:

EEL RIVER - SCOTIA (SCOC1)

Latitude: 40.49º N	Longitude: 124.1º W	Elevation: 36 Feet
Location: Humboldt County in California		Bulletin Group: North Coast		River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

Feb 13, 2026 at 12:49 PM PST

Action/Monitor: 45.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 51.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 60.0 Feet

Major Flood: 65.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | SCOC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
74.0 Feet	Extensive and severe flooding throughout the river valley with major damage to roads, bridges and structures. There will be numerous road closures including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254) and US Highway 101.
72.0 Feet	Extensive and severe flooding of all areas adjacent to the river is expected with possible damage to roads, bridges and other structures. Expect many road closures including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254) and possibly US Highway 101.
67.0 Feet	Expect significant flooding in all areas near the river with numerous road closures, including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
62.0 Feet	Flooding of many low lying areas near the river is likely. Numerous closures along the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
55.0 Feet	Flooding of low lying areas near Shively is likely, along with possible closure of portions of the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
52.0 Feet	Minor flooding in the Shively area is possible.
50.0 Feet	Flooding of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell is likely. Occupants of the park will need to move their vehicles to higher ground.
48.0 Feet	Flooding of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell is expected. Occupants of the park may need to move their vehicles to higher ground.
46.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in the northern portion of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell. Occupants of the park need to be ready to move their vehicles to higher ground.