CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

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SMITH RIVER - DOCTOR FINE BRIDGE (FTDC1)

Latitude: 41.88º N	Longitude: 124.14º W	Elevation: 0 Feet
Location: Del Norte County in California		Bulletin Group: North Coast		River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

Jun 16, 2025 at 6:34 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 27.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 33.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 36.0 Feet

Major Flood: 39.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FTDC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

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Flood Impacts
40.0 Feet	Many roads and structures in the vicinity of the river are likely to be threatened. Significant flooding expected along US Highways 101 and 199, South Bank Rd, and in low lying areas between Lake Earl and the river, including areas along Lower Lake Drive.
38.0 Feet	Expect flooding of portions of Highway 197 and South Bank Rd in the vicinity of US Highway 101. Flooding is also expected in low lying areas between Lake Earl and the river, including areas along Lower Lake Drive. Some access roads and homes in this area may be flooded.
36.0 Feet	Flooding of South Bank Rd in the vicinity of US Highway 101 is likely. Water can flow across low-lying areas into Lake Earl about 4 miles south of the river, including areas along Lower Lake Drive. Some low-lying residential access roads may flood.
33.0 Feet	Flooding is likely near the gravel plant and on South Bank Road in the vicinity of US Highway 101. Water may flow across low-lying areas into Lake Earl about 4 miles south of the river, including areas along lower Lake Drive.
31.0 Feet	Minor flooding may occur around the gravel plant near US Highway 101 and South Bank Road approximately 1 mile upstream from Doctor Fine Bridge.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ101)

Today: Cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs 56 to 66. Northwest wind around 10 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog overnight. Lows 41 to 51. Northwest wind around 10 mph in the evening becoming light.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs 59 to 69. Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 45 to 55. Northwest wind around 10 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 59 to 72. Northwest wind around 15 mph.

Wednesday Night through Thursday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 59 to 72.

Friday: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers. Highs 55 to 65.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Chance of rain showers. Lows 42 to 52.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers. Highs 54 to 64.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs 59 to 69.

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