CNRFC - Ensemble Products

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Location:

MOJAVE RIVER - BARSTOW (MBRC1)

Latitude: 34.91º N	Longitude: 117.02º W	Elevation: 2089 Feet
Location: San Bernardino County in California		Bulletin Group: Southern California		River Group: San Diego/Inland

Issuance Time:

Jun 12, 2026 at 8:24 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: N/A

Minor Flood: 5.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 5.5 Feet

Major Flood: 6.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | MBRC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
8.0 Feet	at 8.0 feet, levees could be overtopped leading to extensive flooding of structures and infrastructure located along the river bank off Soapmine Road and Riverside Drive in Barstow.
6.5 Feet	at 6.5 feet, Lenwood Road crossing at Mojave River potentially overtopped.
6.0 Feet	at 6.0 feet, some levees are threatened and overtopping is possible which would bring flooding to structures located near the river bank off Soapmine Road and Riverside Drive in Barstow.
5.5 Feet	at 5.5 feet, flooding of low lying areas and farmland adjacent to the river between Hinkely Road and Yermo. Due to bank erosion the approach from the east to the Hinkley Road bridge is closed. Additional erosion of the levees can be expected.
5.0 Feet	at 5.0 feet, flooding of low lying areas adjacent to the river between Hinkley Road and Yermo. Some local erosion to the levees. Due to bank erosion the approach from the east of the Hinkley Road bridge could be in danger of being undercut. Minneola Road and Harvard Road east of Barstow could be overtopped and closed to traffic.