National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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COSUMNES RIVER - MCCONNELL (MCNC1)
Latitude: 38.36º NLongitude: 121.34º WElevation: 5 Feet
Location: Sacramento County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: North San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Jan 02 2026 at 8:32 AM PSTNext Issuance: Jan 02 2026 at 3:00 PM PST
Action/Monitor: 38.5 FeetMinor Flood: 44.5 FeetModerate Flood: 53.4 FeetMajor Flood: 53.5 Feet
Please Note:On June 20, 2023, the datum was changed from USED to NAVD88 (+2.46 feet). As a result the monitor stage was updated to 38.5 ft and flood stage was updated to 44.5 ft.
Please Note:
1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Data)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.
Observed Data Credit
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Raw streamflow data is provided by the California Department of Water Resources.
View California Department of Water Resources Data for this station location.

Verification - Historical Graphical RVF
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To view other verification locations, use our Historical Graphical River Forecast Interface.
Historical Stage/Flow Data
Note: Water Year 2025 is currently showing peak daily mean values. These will be updated to instantaneous peaks in the coming months.
Water Year
Peak Discharge (cfs)
Stage (feet)
Date
 Most Recent 5 Years
2020* 6,052 37.90 Mar 19, 2025
2024* 13,400 42.98 Mar 2, 2024
2023* 73,600*** 46.64*** Jan 1, 2023
2022* 7,790 38.99 Dec 24, 2021
2021* 3,000 32.00 Jan 29, 2021
 Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - Jan 1952 to Present)**** - Ranked by Flow
2023* 73,600*** 46.64*** Jan 1, 2023
1956* 54,000 46.26 Dec 23, 1955
2006* 36,209 47.02 Jan 01, 2006
1958 32,600 46.10 Apr 03, 1958
1965* 32,200 45.35 Dec 23, 1964
1983* 31,000 45.97 Mar 14, 1983
 * Discharge affected by regulation or diversion
 ** Dataum changed from USED to NAVD88 on 06/20/2023. The difference is +2.46 ft and must be applied to all data before date to convert to NAVD88.
 *** Estimated from simulated data. Gauge data not reliable from Jan 1, 2023 through Jan 10, 2023.
 **** Additional high flow events occurred in 1986, 1997, & 1998 with only stage measured. Ranking by stage is not possible due to the dynamic nature of the channel.
Location Photographs
ESRI™ Locator Map
Flood Impacts
46.5 FeetAt approximately 44,000 cfs, water exits the river upstream and downstream of Highway 99. Dillard Road is flooded from Highway 99 to Riley Road. Twin Cities Road is flooded from Hardesty Lane to Christensen Road.
44.5 FeetFlood stage.
41.5 FeetThe Cosumnes River overflow channel begins to flow.
38.5 FeetMonitor Stage.
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ017)
Today: Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain late in the afternoon. Highs 54 to 61. Southeast winds up to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Tonight: A chance of rain in the evening, then rain after midnight. Breezy. Lows around 53. Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around 40 mph.

Saturday: Rain in the morning, then rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Breezy. Highs around 56. South winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.

Saturday Night: Rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 51. South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.

Sunday: Rain. Highs around 53. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Sunday Night: Rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 48.

Monday: Rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 47 to 53.

Monday Night: Cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows around 44.

Tuesday and Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Highs around 53. Lows around 43.

Wednesday and Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs around 50. Lows around 40.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain. Highs around 48.
Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS Sacramento Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.