National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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BEAR CREEK - MCKEE ROAD (MEEC1)
Latitude: 37.31º NLongitude: 120.44º WElevation: 187 FeetForecast Type: Official Location
Location: Merced County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Feb 27 2026 at 2:27 PM PSTNext Issuance: Feb 28 2026 at 9:00 AM PST
Action/Monitor: 17.0 FeetMinor Flood: 23.0 FeetModerate Flood: 24.6 FeetMajor Flood: 25.6 Feet


# Tabular Observed and Forecast Hydrograph Information
#
# Location: Bear Creek - McKee Road (MEEC1)
#
# File Generation Time:  02/27/2026 at 02:27 PM PST
# Data Interval:  1 Hour
#
# Most Recent Date & Time of Maximum Observed:  02/22/2026 at 02:00 PM PST
# Maximum Observed Stage:                       6.37 Feet
# Maximum Observed Flow:                        264 cfs
#
# Earliest Date & Time of Maximum Forecast:     02/27/2026 at 03:00 PM PST
# Maximum Forecast Stage:                       5.30 Feet
# Maximum Forecast Flow:                        80 cfs
#
# OBSERVED
#
# Date & Time  (Local)    Stage (Feet)     Flow (cfs)     Trend     Observed Status
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  02/22/2026 02 PM PST            6.37            264                        Normal
  02/22/2026 03 PM PST            6.31            251         -              Normal
  02/22/2026 04 PM PST            6.31            251         0              Normal
  02/22/2026 05 PM PST            6.30            249         -              Normal
  02/22/2026 06 PM PST            6.28            245         -              Normal
  02/22/2026 07 PM PST            6.24            237         -              Normal
  02/22/2026 08 PM PST            6.26            241         +              Normal
  02/22/2026 09 PM PST            6.21            231         -              Normal
  02/22/2026 10 PM PST            6.21            231         0              Normal
  02/22/2026 11 PM PST            6.21            231         0              Normal
  02/23/2026 12 AM PST            6.18            225         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 01 AM PST            6.18            225         0              Normal
  02/23/2026 02 AM PST            6.14            218         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 03 AM PST            6.13            216         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 04 AM PST            6.14            218         +              Normal
  02/23/2026 05 AM PST            6.12            215         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 06 AM PST            6.09            210         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 07 AM PST            6.09            210         0              Normal
  02/23/2026 08 AM PST            6.07            207         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 09 AM PST            6.06            205         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 10 AM PST            6.04            203         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 11 AM PST            6.03            201         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 12 PM PST            6.00            197         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 01 PM PST            6.00            197         0              Normal
  02/23/2026 02 PM PST            6.00            197         0              Normal
  02/23/2026 03 PM PST            5.97            191         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 04 PM PST            5.97            191         0              Normal
  02/23/2026 05 PM PST            5.95            187         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 06 PM PST            5.93            184         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 07 PM PST            5.93            184         0              Normal
  02/23/2026 08 PM PST            5.91            180         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 09 PM PST            5.89            176         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 10 PM PST            5.86            172         -              Normal
  02/23/2026 11 PM PST            5.82            166         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 12 AM PST            5.81            164         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 01 AM PST            5.78            159         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 02 AM PST            5.75            154         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 03 AM PST            5.74            152         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 04 AM PST            5.73            150         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 05 AM PST            5.71            147         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 06 AM PST            5.70            145         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 07 AM PST            5.69            143         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 08 AM PST            5.67            140         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 09 AM PST            5.66            138         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 10 AM PST            5.64            135         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 11 AM PST            5.64            135         0              Normal
  02/24/2026 12 PM PST            5.63            133         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 01 PM PST            5.62            131         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 02 PM PST            5.61            130         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 03 PM PST            5.61            130         0              Normal
  02/24/2026 04 PM PST            5.60            128         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 05 PM PST            5.59            126         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 06 PM PST            5.59            126         0              Normal
  02/24/2026 07 PM PST            5.59            126         0              Normal
  02/24/2026 08 PM PST            5.58            124         -              Normal
  02/24/2026 09 PM PST            5.59            126         +              Normal
  02/24/2026 10 PM PST            5.63            133         +              Normal
  02/24/2026 11 PM PST            5.66            138         +              Normal
  02/25/2026 12 AM PST            5.68            141         +              Normal
  02/25/2026 01 AM PST            5.69            143         +              Normal
  02/25/2026 02 AM PST            5.68            141         -              Normal
  02/25/2026 03 AM PST            5.68            141         0              Normal
  02/25/2026 04 AM PST            5.67            140         -              Normal
  02/25/2026 05 AM PST            5.67            140         0              Normal
  02/25/2026 06 AM PST            5.67            140         0              Normal
  02/25/2026 07 AM PST            5.67            140         0              Normal
  02/25/2026 08 AM PST            5.65            136         -              Normal
  02/25/2026 09 AM PST            5.64            135         -              Normal
  02/25/2026 10 AM PST            5.64            135         0              Normal
  02/25/2026 11 AM PST            5.64            135         0              Normal
  02/25/2026 12 PM PST            5.64            135         0              Normal
  02/25/2026 01 PM PST            5.63            133         -              Normal
  02/25/2026 02 PM PST            5.62            131         -              Normal
  02/25/2026 03 PM PST            5.61            130         -              Normal
  02/25/2026 04 PM PST            5.60            128         -              Normal
  02/25/2026 05 PM PST            5.60            128         0              Normal
  02/25/2026 06 PM PST            5.59            126         -              Normal
  02/25/2026 07 PM PST            5.60            128         +              Normal
  02/25/2026 08 PM PST            5.58            124         -              Normal
  02/25/2026 09 PM PST            5.58            124         0              Normal
  02/25/2026 10 PM PST            5.57            122         -              Normal
  02/25/2026 11 PM PST            5.57            122         0              Normal
  02/26/2026 12 AM PST            5.56            121         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 01 AM PST            5.56            121         0              Normal
  02/26/2026 02 AM PST            5.55            119         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 03 AM PST            5.54            117         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 04 AM PST            5.54            117         0              Normal
  02/26/2026 05 AM PST            5.53            115         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 06 AM PST            5.52            113         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 07 AM PST            5.52            113         0              Normal
  02/26/2026 08 AM PST            5.52            113         0              Normal
  02/26/2026 09 AM PST            5.51            112         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 10 AM PST            5.50            110         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 11 AM PST            5.50            110         0              Normal
  02/26/2026 12 PM PST            5.48            107         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 01 PM PST            5.49            108         +              Normal
  02/26/2026 02 PM PST            5.48            107         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 03 PM PST            5.48            107         0              Normal
  02/26/2026 04 PM PST            5.47            105         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 05 PM PST            5.47            105         0              Normal
  02/26/2026 06 PM PST            5.46            103         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 07 PM PST            5.44            100         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 08 PM PST            5.43             99         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 09 PM PST            5.43             99         0              Normal
  02/26/2026 10 PM PST            5.42             97         -              Normal
  02/26/2026 11 PM PST            5.41             96         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 12 AM PST            5.40             94         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 01 AM PST            5.41             96         +              Normal
  02/27/2026 02 AM PST            5.41             96         0              Normal
  02/27/2026 03 AM PST            5.40             94         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 04 AM PST            5.40             94         0              Normal
  02/27/2026 05 AM PST            5.39             93         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 06 AM PST            5.38             91         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 07 AM PST            5.36             88         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 08 AM PST            5.35             87         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 09 AM PST            5.34             85         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 10 AM PST            5.33             84         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 11 AM PST            5.32             83         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 12 PM PST            5.31             81         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 01 PM PST            5.31             81         0              Normal
  02/27/2026 02 PM PST            5.30             80         -              Normal
#
# FORECAST
#
# Date & Time  (Local)    Stage (Feet)     Flow (cfs)     Trend     Forecast Status
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  02/27/2026 03 PM PST            5.30             80                        Normal
  02/27/2026 04 PM PST            5.29             79         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 05 PM PST            5.29             79         0              Normal
  02/27/2026 06 PM PST            5.29             79         0              Normal
  02/27/2026 07 PM PST            5.28             78         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 08 PM PST            5.28             78         0              Normal
  02/27/2026 09 PM PST            5.28             78         0              Normal
  02/27/2026 10 PM PST            5.27             77         -              Normal
  02/27/2026 11 PM PST            5.27             77         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 12 AM PST            5.27             77         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 01 AM PST            5.26             75         -              Normal
  02/28/2026 02 AM PST            5.26             75         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 03 AM PST            5.26             75         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 04 AM PST            5.26             75         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 05 AM PST            5.25             74         -              Normal
  02/28/2026 06 AM PST            5.25             74         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 07 AM PST            5.25             74         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 08 AM PST            5.25             74         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 09 AM PST            5.24             73         -              Normal
  02/28/2026 10 AM PST            5.24             73         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 11 AM PST            5.24             73         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 12 PM PST            5.24             73         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 01 PM PST            5.23             72         -              Normal
  02/28/2026 02 PM PST            5.23             72         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 03 PM PST            5.23             72         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 04 PM PST            5.22             71         -              Normal
  02/28/2026 05 PM PST            5.22             71         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 06 PM PST            5.22             71         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 07 PM PST            5.21             70         -              Normal
  02/28/2026 08 PM PST            5.21             70         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 09 PM PST            5.21             70         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 10 PM PST            5.21             70         0              Normal
  02/28/2026 11 PM PST            5.20             69         -              Normal
  03/01/2026 12 AM PST            5.20             69         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 01 AM PST            5.20             69         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 02 AM PST            5.20             69         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 03 AM PST            5.20             69         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 04 AM PST            5.20             69         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 05 AM PST            5.20             69         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 06 AM PST            5.20             69         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 07 AM PST            5.20             69         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 08 AM PST            5.20             69         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 09 AM PST            5.19             68         -              Normal
  03/01/2026 10 AM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 11 AM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 12 PM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 01 PM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 02 PM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 03 PM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 04 PM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 05 PM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 06 PM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 07 PM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 08 PM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 09 PM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 10 PM PST            5.19             68         0              Normal
  03/01/2026 11 PM PST            5.18             66         -              Normal
  03/02/2026 12 AM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 01 AM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 02 AM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 03 AM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 04 AM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 05 AM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 06 AM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 07 AM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 08 AM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 09 AM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 10 AM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 11 AM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 12 PM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 01 PM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 02 PM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 03 PM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 04 PM PST            5.18             66         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 05 PM PST            5.17             65         -              Normal
  03/02/2026 06 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 07 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 08 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 09 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 10 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/02/2026 11 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 12 AM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 01 AM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 02 AM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 03 AM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 04 AM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 05 AM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 06 AM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 07 AM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 08 AM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 09 AM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 10 AM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 11 AM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 12 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 01 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 02 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 03 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 04 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 05 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 06 PM PST            5.17             65         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 07 PM PST            5.16             64         -              Normal
  03/03/2026 08 PM PST            5.16             64         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 09 PM PST            5.16             64         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 10 PM PST            5.16             64         0              Normal
  03/03/2026 11 PM PST            5.16             64         0              Normal
  03/04/2026 12 AM PST            5.16             64         0              Normal
  03/04/2026 01 AM PST            5.16             64         0              Normal
  03/04/2026 02 AM PST            5.16             64         0              Normal
  03/04/2026 03 AM PST            5.16             64         0              Normal
  03/04/2026 04 AM PST            5.16             64         0              Normal
#
# NOTE 1: Stages are rounded to the nearest hundredth (.01) of a foot.
# NOTE 2: Flows are rounded to the nearest (1) cfs.
# NOTE 3: Trends are determined using hourly change in unrounded stage and flow.
# NOTE 4: Maximum Values are determined using unrounded stage and flow.