National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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BEAR CREEK - MCKEE ROAD (MEEC1)
Latitude: 37.31º NLongitude: 120.44º WElevation: 187 FeetForecast Type: Official Location
Location: Merced County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Feb 16 2026 at 3:15 PM PSTNext Issuance: Feb 17 2026 at 9:00 AM PST
Action/Monitor: 17.0 FeetMinor Flood: 23.0 FeetModerate Flood: 24.6 FeetMajor Flood: 25.6 Feet


# Tabular Observed and Forecast Hydrograph Information
#
# Location: Bear Creek - McKee Road (MEEC1)
#
# File Generation Time:  02/16/2026 at 03:16 PM PST
# Data Interval:  1 Hour
#
# Most Recent Date & Time of Maximum Observed:  02/16/2026 at 01:00 PM PST
# Maximum Observed Stage:                       4.83 Feet
# Maximum Observed Flow:                        14 cfs
#
# Earliest Date & Time of Maximum Forecast:     02/18/2026 at 08:00 AM PST
# Maximum Forecast Stage:                       14.41 Feet
# Maximum Forecast Flow:                        2336 cfs
#
# OBSERVED
#
# Date & Time  (Local)    Stage (Feet)     Flow (cfs)     Trend     Observed Status
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  02/11/2026 03 PM PST            4.78              9                        Normal
  02/11/2026 04 PM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/11/2026 05 PM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/11/2026 06 PM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/11/2026 07 PM PST            4.77              8         -              Normal
  02/11/2026 08 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/11/2026 09 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/11/2026 10 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/11/2026 11 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 12 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 01 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 02 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 03 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 04 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 05 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 06 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 07 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 08 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 09 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 10 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 11 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 12 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 01 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 02 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 03 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 04 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 05 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 06 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 07 PM PST            4.78              9         +              Normal
  02/12/2026 08 PM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 09 PM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 10 PM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/12/2026 11 PM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 12 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 01 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 02 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 03 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 04 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 05 AM PST            4.79             10         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 06 AM PST            4.78              9         -              Normal
  02/13/2026 07 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 08 AM PST            4.79             10         +              Normal
  02/13/2026 09 AM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 10 AM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 11 AM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 12 PM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 01 PM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 02 PM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 03 PM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 04 PM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 05 PM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 06 PM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 07 PM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 08 PM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 09 PM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 10 PM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/13/2026 11 PM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 12 AM PST            4.79             10         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 01 AM PST            4.78              9         -              Normal
  02/14/2026 02 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 03 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 04 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 05 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 06 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 07 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 08 AM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 09 AM PST            4.76              7         -              Normal
  02/14/2026 10 AM PST            4.77              8         +              Normal
  02/14/2026 11 AM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 12 PM PST            4.78              9         +              Normal
  02/14/2026 01 PM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 02 PM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 03 PM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 04 PM PST            4.78              9         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 05 PM PST            4.77              8         -              Normal
  02/14/2026 06 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 07 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 08 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 09 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 10 PM PST            4.77              8         0              Normal
  02/14/2026 11 PM PST            4.76              7         -              Normal
  02/15/2026 12 AM PST            4.76              7         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 01 AM PST            4.76              7         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 02 AM PST            4.75              7         -              Normal
  02/15/2026 03 AM PST            4.75              7         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 04 AM PST            4.75              7         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 05 AM PST            4.74              6         -              Normal
  02/15/2026 06 AM PST            4.74              6         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 07 AM PST            4.74              6         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 08 AM PST            4.74              6         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 09 AM PST            4.74              6         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 10 AM PST            4.74              6         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 11 AM PST            4.73              5         -              Normal
  02/15/2026 12 PM PST            4.74              6         +              Normal
  02/15/2026 01 PM PST            4.73              5         -              Normal
  02/15/2026 02 PM PST            4.74              6         +              Normal
  02/15/2026 03 PM PST            4.74              6         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 04 PM PST            4.74              6         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 05 PM PST            4.74              6         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 06 PM PST            4.74              6         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 07 PM PST            4.75              7         +              Normal
  02/15/2026 08 PM PST            4.75              7         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 09 PM PST            4.75              7         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 10 PM PST            4.75              7         0              Normal
  02/15/2026 11 PM PST            4.75              7         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 12 AM PST            4.75              7         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 01 AM PST            4.75              7         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 02 AM PST            4.75              7         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 03 AM PST            4.75              7         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 04 AM PST            4.75              7         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 05 AM PST            4.75              7         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 06 AM PST            4.76              7         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 07 AM PST            4.76              7         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 08 AM PST            4.77              8         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 09 AM PST            4.78              9         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 10 AM PST            4.79             10         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 11 AM PST            4.81             12         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 12 PM PST            4.82             13         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 01 PM PST            4.83             14         +              Normal
#
# FORECAST
#
# Date & Time  (Local)    Stage (Feet)     Flow (cfs)     Trend     Forecast Status
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  02/16/2026 03 PM PST            4.84             15                        Normal
  02/16/2026 04 PM PST            4.84             15         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 05 PM PST            4.85             17         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 06 PM PST            4.85             17         0              Normal
  02/16/2026 07 PM PST            4.86             18         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 08 PM PST            4.87             20         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 09 PM PST            4.88             21         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 10 PM PST            4.89             23         +              Normal
  02/16/2026 11 PM PST            4.90             25         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 12 AM PST            4.92             27         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 01 AM PST            4.93             29         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 02 AM PST            4.95             31         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 03 AM PST            5.00             39         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 04 AM PST            5.26             75         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 05 AM PST            6.01            198         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 06 AM PST            7.02            400         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 07 AM PST            7.87            589         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 08 AM PST            8.44            725         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 09 AM PST            8.91            844         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 10 AM PST            9.41            975         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 11 AM PST            9.92           1108         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 12 PM PST           10.37           1211         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 01 PM PST           10.62           1269         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 02 PM PST           10.74           1297         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 03 PM PST           10.82           1316         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 04 PM PST           10.89           1332         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 05 PM PST           10.94           1344         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 06 PM PST           10.96           1348         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 07 PM PST           11.02           1363         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 08 PM PST           11.24           1415         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 09 PM PST           11.69           1521         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 10 PM PST           12.21           1653         +              Normal
  02/17/2026 11 PM PST           12.70           1790         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 12 AM PST           13.14           1918         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 01 AM PST           13.50           2032         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 02 AM PST           13.78           2122         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 03 AM PST           13.99           2190         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 04 AM PST           14.15           2245         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 05 AM PST           14.27           2286         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 06 AM PST           14.35           2314         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 07 AM PST           14.39           2328         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 08 AM PST           14.41           2336         +              Normal
  02/18/2026 09 AM PST           14.39           2328         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 10 AM PST           14.35           2314         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 11 AM PST           14.30           2297         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 12 PM PST           14.23           2272         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 01 PM PST           14.14           2242         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 02 PM PST           14.01           2196         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 03 PM PST           13.83           2138         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 04 PM PST           13.62           2070         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 05 PM PST           13.39           1997         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 06 PM PST           13.16           1925         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 07 PM PST           12.90           1847         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 08 PM PST           12.62           1768         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 09 PM PST           12.32           1684         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 10 PM PST           11.97           1588         -              Normal
  02/18/2026 11 PM PST           11.57           1493         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 12 AM PST           11.18           1400         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 01 AM PST           10.83           1318         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 02 AM PST           10.52           1246         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 03 AM PST           10.22           1177         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 04 AM PST            9.95           1114         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 05 AM PST            9.70           1053         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 06 AM PST            9.48            994         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 07 AM PST            9.27            937         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 08 AM PST            9.05            880         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 09 AM PST            8.83            823         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 10 AM PST            8.62            770         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 11 AM PST            8.42            720         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 12 PM PST            8.24            677         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 01 PM PST            8.08            638         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 02 PM PST            7.93            603         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 03 PM PST            7.81            574         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 04 PM PST            7.70            549         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 05 PM PST            7.61            529         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 06 PM PST            7.58            522         -              Normal
  02/19/2026 07 PM PST            7.59            525         +              Normal
  02/19/2026 08 PM PST            7.63            534         +              Normal
  02/19/2026 09 PM PST            7.70            549         +              Normal
  02/19/2026 10 PM PST            7.77            565         +              Normal
  02/19/2026 11 PM PST            7.85            584         +              Normal
  02/20/2026 12 AM PST            7.94            605         +              Normal
  02/20/2026 01 AM PST            8.03            626         +              Normal
  02/20/2026 02 AM PST            8.10            643         +              Normal
  02/20/2026 03 AM PST            8.16            657         +              Normal
  02/20/2026 04 AM PST            8.21            669         +              Normal
  02/20/2026 05 AM PST            8.24            677         +              Normal
  02/20/2026 06 AM PST            8.26            681         +              Normal
  02/20/2026 07 AM PST            8.28            686         +              Normal
  02/20/2026 08 AM PST            8.28            686         0              Normal
  02/20/2026 09 AM PST            8.27            684         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 10 AM PST            8.24            677         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 11 AM PST            8.19            665         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 12 PM PST            8.13            650         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 01 PM PST            8.05            631         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 02 PM PST            7.97            612         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 03 PM PST            7.87            589         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 04 PM PST            7.76            563         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 05 PM PST            7.63            534         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 06 PM PST            7.47            497         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 07 PM PST            7.29            458         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 08 PM PST            7.12            421         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 09 PM PST            6.97            390         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 10 PM PST            6.83            361         -              Normal
  02/20/2026 11 PM PST            6.70            335         -              Normal
  02/21/2026 12 AM PST            6.60            315         -              Normal
  02/21/2026 01 AM PST            6.53            297         -              Normal
  02/21/2026 02 AM PST            6.45            280         -              Normal
  02/21/2026 03 AM PST            6.38            266         -              Normal
  02/21/2026 04 AM PST            6.32            253         -              Normal
#
# NOTE 1: Stages are rounded to the nearest hundredth (.01) of a foot.
# NOTE 2: Flows are rounded to the nearest (1) cfs.
# NOTE 3: Trends are determined using hourly change in unrounded stage and flow.
# NOTE 4: Maximum Values are determined using unrounded stage and flow.