National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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BEAR CREEK - MCKEE ROAD (MEEC1)
Latitude: 37.31º NLongitude: 120.44º WElevation: 187 Feet
Location: Merced County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Nov 15 2025 at 7:45 AM PSTNext Issuance: Nov 16 2025 at 9:00 AM PST
Action/Monitor: 17.0 FeetMinor Flood: 23.0 FeetModerate Flood: 24.6 FeetMajor Flood: 25.6 Feet


# Tabular Observed and Forecast Hydrograph Information
#
# Location: Bear Creek - McKee Road (MEEC1)
#
# File Generation Time:  11/15/2025 at 07:45 AM PST
# Data Interval:  1 Hour
#
# Most Recent Date & Time of Maximum Observed:  11/10/2025 at 10:00 PM PST
# Maximum Observed Stage:                       5.23 Feet
# Maximum Observed Flow:                        70 cfs
#
# Earliest Date & Time of Maximum Forecast:     11/18/2025 at 02:00 AM PST
# Maximum Forecast Stage:                       9.75 Feet
# Maximum Forecast Flow:                        1066 cfs
#
# OBSERVED
#
# Date & Time  (Local)    Stage (Feet)     Flow (cfs)     Trend     Observed Status
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  11/10/2025 07 AM PST            5.14             58                        Normal
  11/10/2025 08 AM PST            5.14             58         0              Normal
  11/10/2025 09 AM PST            5.14             58         0              Normal
  11/10/2025 10 AM PST            5.15             59         +              Normal
  11/10/2025 11 AM PST            5.14             58         -              Normal
  11/10/2025 12 PM PST            5.15             59         +              Normal
  11/10/2025 01 PM PST            5.16             61         +              Normal
  11/10/2025 02 PM PST            5.18             64         +              Normal
  11/10/2025 03 PM PST            5.20             67         +              Normal
  11/10/2025 04 PM PST            5.21             68         +              Normal
  11/10/2025 05 PM PST            5.21             68         0              Normal
  11/10/2025 06 PM PST            5.22             69         +              Normal
  11/10/2025 07 PM PST            5.21             68         -              Normal
  11/10/2025 08 PM PST            5.22             69         +              Normal
  11/10/2025 09 PM PST            5.22             69         0              Normal
  11/10/2025 10 PM PST            5.23             70         +              Normal
  11/10/2025 11 PM PST            5.22             69         -              Normal
  11/11/2025 12 AM PST            5.22             69         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 01 AM PST            5.22             69         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 02 AM PST            5.22             69         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 03 AM PST            5.22             69         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 04 AM PST            5.20             67         -              Normal
  11/11/2025 05 AM PST            5.20             67         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 06 AM PST            5.20             67         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 07 AM PST            5.20             67         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 08 AM PST            5.19             65         -              Normal
  11/11/2025 09 AM PST            5.19             65         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 10 AM PST            5.18             64         -              Normal
  11/11/2025 11 AM PST            5.17             62         -              Normal
  11/11/2025 12 PM PST            5.17             62         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 01 PM PST            5.17             62         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 02 PM PST            5.16             61         -              Normal
  11/11/2025 03 PM PST            5.16             61         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 04 PM PST            5.15             59         -              Normal
  11/11/2025 05 PM PST            5.15             59         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 06 PM PST            5.14             58         -              Normal
  11/11/2025 07 PM PST            5.14             58         0              Normal
  11/11/2025 08 PM PST            5.13             56         -              Normal
  11/11/2025 09 PM PST            5.14             58         +              Normal
  11/11/2025 10 PM PST            5.13             56         -              Normal
  11/11/2025 11 PM PST            5.12             55         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 12 AM PST            5.12             55         0              Normal
  11/12/2025 01 AM PST            5.11             53         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 02 AM PST            5.11             53         0              Normal
  11/12/2025 03 AM PST            5.10             52         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 04 AM PST            5.09             50         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 05 AM PST            5.09             50         0              Normal
  11/12/2025 06 AM PST            5.09             50         0              Normal
  11/12/2025 07 AM PST            5.08             48         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 08 AM PST            5.08             48         0              Normal
  11/12/2025 09 AM PST            5.07             46         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 10 AM PST            5.07             46         0              Normal
  11/12/2025 11 AM PST            5.06             44         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 12 PM PST            5.06             44         0              Normal
  11/12/2025 01 PM PST            5.06             44         0              Normal
  11/12/2025 02 PM PST            5.05             43         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 03 PM PST            5.05             43         0              Normal
  11/12/2025 04 PM PST            5.07             46         +              Normal
  11/12/2025 05 PM PST            5.17             62         +              Normal
  11/12/2025 06 PM PST            5.16             61         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 07 PM PST            5.13             56         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 08 PM PST            5.10             52         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 09 PM PST            5.08             48         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 10 PM PST            5.07             46         -              Normal
  11/12/2025 11 PM PST            5.06             44         -              Normal
  11/13/2025 12 AM PST            5.05             43         -              Normal
  11/13/2025 01 AM PST            5.04             41         -              Normal
  11/13/2025 02 AM PST            5.04             41         0              Normal
  11/13/2025 03 AM PST            5.03             39         -              Normal
  11/13/2025 04 AM PST            5.03             39         0              Normal
  11/13/2025 05 AM PST            5.02             38         -              Normal
  11/13/2025 06 AM PST            5.02             38         0              Normal
  11/13/2025 07 AM PST            5.02             38         0              Normal
  11/13/2025 08 AM PST            5.02             38         0              Normal
  11/13/2025 09 AM PST            5.02             38         0              Normal
  11/13/2025 10 AM PST            5.02             38         0              Normal
  11/13/2025 11 AM PST            5.09             50         +              Normal
  11/13/2025 12 PM PST            5.12             55         +              Normal
  11/13/2025 01 PM PST            5.10             52         -              Normal
  11/13/2025 02 PM PST            5.07             46         -              Normal
  11/13/2025 03 PM PST            5.05             43         -              Normal
  11/13/2025 04 PM PST            5.04             41         -              Normal
  11/13/2025 05 PM PST            5.03             39         -              Normal
  11/13/2025 06 PM PST            5.02             38         -              Normal
  11/13/2025 07 PM PST            5.01             36         -              Normal
  11/13/2025 08 PM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/13/2025 09 PM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/13/2025 10 PM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/13/2025 11 PM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 12 AM PST            5.03             39         +              Normal
  11/14/2025 01 AM PST            5.02             38         -              Normal
  11/14/2025 02 AM PST            5.01             36         -              Normal
  11/14/2025 03 AM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 04 AM PST            5.00             35         -              Normal
  11/14/2025 05 AM PST            5.01             36         +              Normal
  11/14/2025 06 AM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 07 AM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 08 AM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 09 AM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 10 AM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 11 AM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 12 PM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 01 PM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 02 PM PST            5.01             36         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 03 PM PST            5.00             35         -              Normal
  11/14/2025 04 PM PST            5.00             35         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 05 PM PST            5.00             35         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 06 PM PST            5.00             35         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 07 PM PST            5.00             35         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 08 PM PST            5.00             35         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 09 PM PST            5.00             35         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 10 PM PST            5.00             35         0              Normal
  11/14/2025 11 PM PST            5.00             35         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 12 AM PST            4.99             33         -              Normal
  11/15/2025 01 AM PST            4.99             33         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 02 AM PST            5.00             35         +              Normal
  11/15/2025 03 AM PST            4.99             33         -              Normal
  11/15/2025 04 AM PST            4.99             33         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 05 AM PST            4.99             33         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 06 AM PST            4.99             33         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 07 AM PST            4.98             31         -              Normal
#
# FORECAST
#
# Date & Time  (Local)    Stage (Feet)     Flow (cfs)     Trend     Forecast Status
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  11/15/2025 08 AM PST            4.98             31                        Normal
  11/15/2025 09 AM PST            4.98             31         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 10 AM PST            4.97             30         -              Normal
  11/15/2025 11 AM PST            4.97             30         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 12 PM PST            4.97             30         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 01 PM PST            4.96             28         -              Normal
  11/15/2025 02 PM PST            4.96             28         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 03 PM PST            4.96             28         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 04 PM PST            4.96             28         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 05 PM PST            4.95             26         -              Normal
  11/15/2025 06 PM PST            4.95             26         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 07 PM PST            4.95             26         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 08 PM PST            4.94             25         -              Normal
  11/15/2025 09 PM PST            4.94             25         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 10 PM PST            4.94             25         0              Normal
  11/15/2025 11 PM PST            4.94             25         0              Normal
  11/16/2025 12 AM PST            4.94             25         0              Normal
  11/16/2025 01 AM PST            4.94             25         0              Normal
  11/16/2025 02 AM PST            4.94             25         0              Normal
  11/16/2025 03 AM PST            4.94             25         0              Normal
  11/16/2025 04 AM PST            4.93             24         -              Normal
  11/16/2025 05 AM PST            4.93             24         0              Normal
  11/16/2025 06 AM PST            4.92             22         -              Normal
  11/16/2025 07 AM PST            4.92             22         0              Normal
  11/16/2025 08 AM PST            4.92             22         0              Normal
  11/16/2025 09 AM PST            4.91             21         -              Normal
  11/16/2025 10 AM PST            4.91             21         0              Normal
  11/16/2025 11 AM PST            4.91             21         0              Normal
  11/16/2025 12 PM PST            4.92             22         +              Normal
  11/16/2025 01 PM PST            4.92             22         0              Normal
  11/16/2025 02 PM PST            4.93             24         +              Normal
  11/16/2025 03 PM PST            4.94             25         +              Normal
  11/16/2025 04 PM PST            4.96             28         +              Normal
  11/16/2025 05 PM PST            4.99             33         +              Normal
  11/16/2025 06 PM PST            5.03             39         +              Normal
  11/16/2025 07 PM PST            5.07             46         +              Normal
  11/16/2025 08 PM PST            5.13             56         +              Normal
  11/16/2025 09 PM PST            5.19             65         +              Normal
  11/16/2025 10 PM PST            5.29             75         +              Normal
  11/16/2025 11 PM PST            5.36             86         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 12 AM PST            5.43             98         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 01 AM PST            5.51            111         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 02 AM PST            5.58            122         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 03 AM PST            5.65            134         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 04 AM PST            5.72            146         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 05 AM PST            5.78            157         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 06 AM PST            5.83            166         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 07 AM PST            5.88            174         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 08 AM PST            5.92            182         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 09 AM PST            5.95            187         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 10 AM PST            5.98            193         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 11 AM PST            6.01            198         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 12 PM PST            6.06            205         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 01 PM PST            6.13            216         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 02 PM PST            6.23            235         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 03 PM PST            6.36            261         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 04 PM PST            6.53            297         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 05 PM PST            6.75            345         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 06 PM PST            7.12            421         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 07 PM PST            7.62            531         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 08 PM PST            8.13            650         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 09 PM PST            8.55            752         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 10 PM PST            8.90            841         +              Normal
  11/17/2025 11 PM PST            9.22            924         +              Normal
  11/18/2025 12 AM PST            9.49            996         +              Normal
  11/18/2025 01 AM PST            9.67           1045         +              Normal
  11/18/2025 02 AM PST            9.75           1066         +              Normal
  11/18/2025 03 AM PST            9.74           1064         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 04 AM PST            9.67           1045         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 05 AM PST            9.54           1009         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 06 AM PST            9.40            972         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 07 AM PST            9.24            929         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 08 AM PST            9.09            890         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 09 AM PST            8.93            849         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 10 AM PST            8.76            805         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 11 AM PST            8.58            760         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 12 PM PST            8.39            713         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 01 PM PST            8.18            662         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 02 PM PST            7.97            612         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 03 PM PST            7.76            563         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 04 PM PST            7.55            515         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 05 PM PST            7.34            469         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 06 PM PST            7.15            428         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 07 PM PST            6.97            390         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 08 PM PST            6.79            353         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 09 PM PST            6.61            317         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 10 PM PST            6.47            284         -              Normal
  11/18/2025 11 PM PST            6.33            255         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 12 AM PST            6.21            231         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 01 AM PST            6.09            210         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 02 AM PST            5.97            191         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 03 AM PST            5.89            176         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 04 AM PST            5.80            161         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 05 AM PST            5.73            148         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 06 AM PST            5.67            138         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 07 AM PST            5.61            128         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 08 AM PST            5.56            119         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 09 AM PST            5.51            111         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 10 AM PST            5.47            104         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 11 AM PST            5.43             98         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 12 PM PST            5.39             91         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 01 PM PST            5.35             84         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 02 PM PST            5.32             79         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 03 PM PST            5.28             74         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 04 PM PST            5.22             69         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 05 PM PST            5.19             65         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 06 PM PST            5.16             61         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 07 PM PST            5.13             56         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 08 PM PST            5.11             53         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 09 PM PST            5.09             50         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 10 PM PST            5.08             48         -              Normal
  11/19/2025 11 PM PST            5.06             44         -              Normal
  11/20/2025 12 AM PST            5.05             43         -              Normal
  11/20/2025 01 AM PST            5.04             41         -              Normal
  11/20/2025 02 AM PST            5.02             38         -              Normal
  11/20/2025 03 AM PST            5.01             36         -              Normal
  11/20/2025 04 AM PST            5.00             35         -              Normal
#
# NOTE 1: Stages are rounded to the nearest hundredth (.01) of a foot.
# NOTE 2: Flows are rounded to the nearest (1) cfs.
# NOTE 3: Trends are determined using hourly change in unrounded stage and flow.
# NOTE 4: Maximum Values are determined using unrounded stage and flow.