National Weather Service California-Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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COSUMNES RIVER - MICHIGAN BAR (MHBC1)
Latitude: 38.50º NLongitude: 121.04º WElevation: 168 FeetForecast Type: Official Location
Location: Sacramento County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: North San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Oct 10 2026 at 8:04 AM PDTNext Issuance: Oct 11 2026 at 9:00 AM PDT
Action: 7.0 FeetMinor Flood: 10.0 FeetModerate Flood: 12.0 FeetMajor Flood: 14.0 Feet
Please Note:On October 1, 2026, flood stages for this location changed to the following: Minor: 10.0 ft, Moderate: 12.0 ft, Major: 14.0 ft. Details
Please Note:
1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Gauge)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Gauge)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.
Observed Data Credit
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Raw streamflow data is provided by the US Geological Survey (USGS).
View US Geological Survey (USGS) Data for this station location.

Verification - Historical Graphical RVF
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To view other verification locations, use our Historical Graphical River Forecast Interface.
Historical Stage/Flow Data
Water Year
Peak Discharge (cfs)
Stage (feet)
Date
 Most Recent 5 Years
2025 10,700 9.32 Feb 14, 2025
2024 10,100 9.16 Mar 2, 2024
2023 67,900 16.83 Dec 31, 2022
2022 14,000 10.11 Oct 25, 2021
2021 3,140 6.56 Jan 28, 2021
 Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - Oct 1907 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
1997 93,000 18.54 Jan 02, 1997
1907 71,000* 16.30 Mar 19, 1907
2023 67,900 16.83 Dec 31, 2022
2017 49,700 15.19 Feb 10, 2017
1986 45,100 14.76 Feb 17, 1986
1956 42,000 14.59 Dec 23, 1955
 * Estimated
Location Photographs
ESRI™ Locator Map
Flood Impacts
16.0 FeetJackson Road at Sloughhouse may flood; levee breaks are known to occur at this level.
14.0 FeetMajor Flood Stage - Flooding along Dillard Road cuts off CA-99 access. Multiple stretches of CA-99 and Green Road flood. Levees overtop near Wilton Road.
13.0 FeetDillard Road floods in multiple locations. CA-99 begins to overtop.
12.0 FeetModerate Flood Stage - Dillard Road and Green Road (between Sunflower Rd and Magos Rd) flood. Farmland between Deer Creek and the Cosumnes River levee floods. Lower-elevation levees overtop.
10.0 FeetMinor Flood Stage (Flood Warning) - River begins leaving the channel, with water heading toward Green Road.
7.0 FeetAction Stage.
Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS Sacramento Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.