National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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COSUMNES RIVER - MICHIGAN BAR (MHBC1)
Latitude: 38.50º NLongitude: 121.04º WElevation: 168 Feet
Location: Sacramento County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: North San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Jan 03 2026 at 7:55 PM PSTNext Issuance: Jan 04 2026 at 9:00 AM PST
Action/Monitor: 7.0 FeetMinor Flood: 12.0 FeetModerate Flood: 16.0 FeetMajor Flood: 18.0 Feet

Please Note:
1) Each individual timeseries plotted on the graphical river forecast can be toggled on and off by clicking the legend entry above. If the "Observed (Raw Data)" contains bad data and is toggled off, the plot will scale to the remaining timeseries.

2) At extremely low river flows, the "Observed (Raw Data)" may show readings below the lower end of the available rating table, while the "Observed (Simulated)" will only show values at the bottom of the rating table, creating a potential discrepancy between the two readings.
Observed Data Credit
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Raw streamflow data is provided by the US Geological Survey (USGS).
View US Geological Survey (USGS) Data for this station location.

Verification - Historical Graphical RVF
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To view other verification locations, use our Historical Graphical River Forecast Interface.
Historical Stage/Flow Data
Note: Water Year 2025 is currently showing peak daily mean values. These will be updated to instantaneous peaks in the coming months.
Water Year
Peak Discharge (cfs)
Stage (feet)
Date
 Most Recent 5 Years
2025 8,240 8.61 Feb 14, 2025
2024 10,100 9.16 Mar 2, 2024
2023 67,900 16.83 Dec 31, 2022
2022 14,000 10.11 Oct 25, 2021
2021 3,140 6.56 Jan 28, 2021
 Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - Oct 1907 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
1997 93,000 18.54 Jan 02, 1997
1907 71,000* 16.30 Mar 19, 1907
2023 67,900 16.83 Dec 31, 2022
2017 49,700 15.19 Feb 10, 2017
1986 45,100 14.76 Feb 17, 1986
1956 42,000 14.59 Dec 23, 1955
 * Estimated
Location Photographs
ESRI™ Locator Map
Flood Impacts
13.2 FeetWater floods houses in Wilton. The south bank levee near Wilton is overtopped.
12.0 FeetWater flows on to the road near Wilton.
8.0 FeetLow lying lands along the river begin to flood.
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ017)
Today: Rain. Highs around 53. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows around 46. South winds around 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Monday: Rain likely. Highs 49 to 54. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the evening, then a slight chance of rain after midnight. Lows around 46. Southeast winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Highs around 53. Light winds.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows around 44.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain. Highs around 52.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows around 39.

Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs around 50.

Thursday Night through Saturday: Mostly clear. Lows around 37. Highs around 50.
Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS Sacramento Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.